Turns the state of the atmosphere into a forecast somebody has to act on.
The work
Aviation forecasting is applied physics with a deadline. The output is not a description of the weather — it is a decision aid: will this airport go below minimums, will the icing be in the climb, is that line of storms going to sit across the departure route at the wrong hour. Being usefully specific and being honest about uncertainty are both part of the job.
A typical day
- 01Read model output against observations and decide which to believe
- 02Issue and amend terminal forecasts on a schedule
- 03Brief crews and dispatchers on what actually matters today
- 04Verify yesterday’s forecast against what happened
How people get in
- Meteorology degree
The standard route, with maths and physics behind it.
- Military forecasting
Service meteorological training transfers directly.
How it unfolds
- DegreeMaths and physics, then atmospheric science. The modelling is not optional.
- Years 1-2Observing and assisting. Learning the local effects that no model captures.
- Years 3-6Forecast desk. Issuing, amending and defending terminal forecasts on a schedule.
- LaterSpecialist forecasting, model development, or briefing at a national centre.
Is there a job in it
- Employed now
- 9,400
- Projected change
- +1% by 2034
- Openings a year
- 700
Atmospheric scientists, including meteorologists · US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook, May 2024 wages and 2024–34 projections.
Covers research, broadcast and forecasting meteorologists together. Aviation forecasting is a small part of an already small occupation — nine thousand four hundred people in the whole country.
The hard parts
You will be wrong in public, on a schedule, and the verification is kept. Shift work covers the clock because weather does. And the pressure to say something definite when the honest answer is a probability is constant, and giving in to it is the one professional failure that matters.
What you would need
- Atmospheric physics
- Numerical model interpretation
- Communicating uncertainty
- Working to a fixed issue time
- Median pay
- $97,450
- Atmospheric scientists, including meteorologists, May 2024. US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Typical education
- Bachelor's in meteorology or atmospheric science
- Routes in
- Degree
- Field
- Aviation

